Forecasting EPR Fees
Colorado and Oregon are the only two states with published multi-year program budgets sufficient to model producer obligations beyond current rates. This analysis uses that data.
Colorado's program budget escalates 40% between 2026 and 2030 on a flat tonnage basis. Oregon runs 54% in two years. The drivers are structural — infrastructure build-out, tonnage base expansion, and CAA overhead — not one-time anomalies.
The analysis covers avg $/ton trajectories under flat and growth tonnage scenarios, SKU-level fee illustrations for CPG and foodservice, and the methodology behind the projections.
